Palantir: Outperformance Possible Even Without New Government Contracts

Summary
  • Despite the recent stock decline, maintained “strong buy” rating on Palantir with a fair price estimate of $24.13, offering a 12.7% upside from current price.
  • Q1 2024 earnings met expectations, highlighting PLTR’s stability amid market fluctuations.
  • Projected future stock price for 2029 at $108.81, suggesting substantial annual returns of 40.8% from 2024-2033.
  • Explored potential downsides, including stagnant government revenue, with a conservative downside estimate of 14.3%, reaffirming confidence in Palantir’s resilience at its current valuation.

Thesis

In my previous article on Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE:PLTR) I reiterated my “strong buy” rating on the stock, citing that my estimated fair price stood at $17.04 and an estimated future price for the year 2029 of $54.12.

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