Share of Homebuyers Looking to Relocate Dips Slightly in October

30% of Redfin.com users looked to move metros last month, down from 32% at the start of 2021 but still above the 26% share seen before the pandemic

SEATTLE, Nov. 29, 2021 /PRNewswire/ — Nationwide, 29.5% of Redfin.com users looked to move to a different metropolitan area in October, according to a new report from Redfin, the technology-powered real estate brokerage. That’s down from a peak of 31.5% at the beginning of the year, but still higher than the 26% levels seen before the coronavirus pandemic.

“With many employers making remote work permanent, we expect people to continue relocating at a higher rate than they did before the pandemic,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. “What will likely change are the places people choose to relocate to. Popular Sunbelt migration destinations including Phoenix, Atlanta and Austin will probably fall out of favor as skyrocketing home prices have rendered them less affordable. Northern cities like Columbus, Harrisburg and Indianapolis will likely rise in popularity as homebuyers seek better bang for their buck.”

Miami, Phoenix and Sacramento Are the Top Metros Homebuyers Want to Move to

Miami, Phoenix, Sacramento, Las Vegas and Tampa were the most popular migration destinations of any major U.S. metros in October, meaning they had the largest net inflows. A net inflow is a measure of how many more Redfin.com home searchers looked to move into a metro than leave.

While Sunbelt cities remain popular, four of the 10 top metros people wanted to relocate to in October—Sacramento, Las Vegas, Dallas and Atlanta—saw fewer people looking to move in than a year earlier. Sacramento, for example, saw a net inflow of 4,904 Redfin.com users, down from a net inflow of 6,369 in October 2020.

Table: Top 10 Metros by Net Inflow of Users and Their Top Origins

Rank

Metro*

Net
Inflow,
October
2021

Net
Inflow,
October
2020

Portion of
Searches from
Users Outside
the Metro,
October 2021

Portion of
Searches from
Users Outside the
Metro, October
2020

Top Origin

Top Out-of-
State Origin

1

Miami, FL

6,897

2,226

32.1%

26%

New York, NY

New York, NY

2

Phoenix, AZ

6,343

5,554

35.8%

36.2%

Los Angeles, CA

Los Angeles, CA

3

Sacramento, CA

4,904

6,369

41%

49.7%

San Francisco, CA

Seattle, WA

4

Las Vegas, NV

4,713

5,751

42.6%

52.5%

Los Angeles, CA

Los Angeles, CA

5

Tampa, FL

4,365

2,896

46.2%

55.7%

Orlando, FL

New York, NY

6

Dallas, TX

3,717

4,247

25.2%

31.2%

Los Angeles, CA

Los Angeles, CA

7

San Antonio, TX

3,142

1,558

42.6%

43.3%

Houston, TX

Los Angeles, CA

8

Cape Coral, FL

3,025

2,050

68.9%

75.8%

Chicago, IL

Chicago, IL

9

Atlanta, GA

3,019

4,629

20%

26.4%

New York, NY

New York, NY

10

North Port, FL

2,876

1,536

66.1%

77.9%

Chicago, IL

Chicago, IL

*Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users in October 2021

†Among the 2 million users sampled for this analysis only

San Francisco, Los Angeles and New York Are the Top Metros Homebuyers Want to Leave

San Francisco, Los Angeles, New York, Washington, D.C. and Seattle saw more Redfin.com users looking to leave than any other major metro areas in October, meaning they had the biggest net outflows. A net outflow is a measure of how many more Redfin.com home searchers looked to leave a metro than move in.

Dense, expensive cities often experience the biggest exodus of residents—a trend that has intensified during the pandemic as more Americans have been able to move to more affordable places thanks to remote work.

Table: Top 10 Metros by Net Outflow of Users and Their Top Destinations

Rank

Metro*

Net
Outflow,
October
2021

Net
Outflow,
October
2020

Portion of
Local Users
Searching
Elsewhere,
October
2021

Portion of
Local Users
Searching
Elsewhere,
October 2020

Top
Destination

Top Out-of-
State
Destination

1

San Francisco, CA

31,820

25,956

22.4%

23.6%

Sacramento, CA

Seattle, WA

2

Los Angeles, CA

26,035

16,134

19.2%

17.8%

San Diego, CA

Phoenix, AZ

3

New York, NY

16,921

28,046

26.1%

34.8%

Philadelphia, PA

Philadelphia, PA

4

Washington, DC

11,805

7,919

14.6%

12.7%

Salisbury, MD

Salisbury, MD

5

Seattle, WA

8,706

1,102

15.7%

13.4%

Los Angeles, CA

Los Angeles, CA

6

Boston, MA

5,637

-331

15.6%

11.7%

Portland, ME

Portland, ME

7

Chicago, IL

4,107

4,916

12.4%

12.2%

Cape Coral, FL

Cape Coral, FL

8

Denver, CO

1,865

2,706

25.5%

26.9%

Chicago, IL

Chicago, IL

9

Detroit, MI

1,586

280

25.8%

20.9%

Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago, IL

10

Minneapolis, MN

842

-870

20.5%

17.1%

Chicago, IL

Chicago, IL

*Combined statistical areas with at least 500 users in October 2021

†Among the 2 million users sampled for this analysis only

‡Negative values indicate a net inflow

To view the full report, including charts and methodology, please visit:
https://www.redfin.com/news/october-2021-housing-migration-trends/

About Redfin
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